Exit polls differ on West Bengal, Tamil Nadu; give Assam to BJP, Kerala to Cong | India News
Wednesday’s exit polls agreed that the BJP-led alliance would win comfortably in Assam, the UDF unseated the LDF in Kerala and the AINRC-BJP alliance would retain Puducherry but disagreed on the results in Tamil Nadu and West Bengal.The most startling prediction was Axis My India’s projection of a tight contest in Tamil Nadu between the Vijay-led TVK (98-120 seats) and the DMK alliance (92-110), in that order – with the AIADMK-led NDA down by one-run in the 234-member House. The three other exit polls taken into account here all gave the DMK-led coalition a majority, albeit less than five years ago.
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In West Bengal, while Axis MY India did not release its results on Wednesday and some other well-known pollsters also preferred to wait for another day, among the three polls here, P Marq predicted that the BJP would likely get a majority in the 294-member assembly and Matriz Saffron gave the party an edge even though it has not won a majority in any state in the past. A third poll, People’s Pulse, by contrast, projected a decisive TMC victory that would give Mamata Banerjee a fourth consecutive term in office.Four exit polls suggested that the NDA could secure a two-thirds majority in the 126-member Assam assembly, meaning the BJP would also secure its own majority in the northeastern state for the first time.The Congress-led coalition was projected to get 24 to 40 seats.If the Left loses, it will not hold office in any stateIn Kerala, the consensus was that the UDF would win although estimates ranged from 70 of the 140 seats at the bottom of the Matrix range to 90 at the top end of the Axis My India range. The LDF was projected to end up with a best of 69 seats, meaning the Left would not hold office in a state for the first time since 1977. Exit polls have a poor record in India. The result will be known on Monday, May 4.
