भारत से जंग की चाहत? सिंधु के पानी पर विक्टिम कार्ड खेल रहा पाकिस्तान – Pakistan Narrative War Indus Water Treaty Sindhu Jal Sandhi Indian Pak War Operation Sindoor mnrd
The increasing tension between India and Pakistan regarding the Indus Water Treaty no longer seems to be limited to just the water dispute. In the last few days, many big leaders including the Defense Minister of Pakistan have made provocative statements against India by linking water security with national security. On the other hand, Pakistan is constantly trying to create a narrative on international forums that it is facing a serious water crisis because of India’s decisions.
This is why it would be insufficient to look at the latest dispute only from the perspective of water distribution. A big diplomatic conspiracy, political and narrative war is also visible behind this. The question is whether India really Pakistan Has the water been stopped, or is Pakistan using this matter to gain global support and present itself as a victim?
Many times war is fought not with weapons but with the mind. Tanks, missiles and fighter planes come later. First the story is created. First the world is told who is the victim and who is the attacker. At present, something similar seems to be happening in the debate going on between India and Pakistan regarding the Indus Water Treaty.
Recently, Pakistan’s Defense Minister Khawaja Asif had said that if Pakistan’s ‘water security’ is threatened then war against India can also be an option. This statement came at a time when Pakistan is continuously claiming that India has stopped the water of Indus river and due to this water crisis has arisen in the country. This may seem like just a political statement but if we look at the events of the last one year, a larger pattern is visible. Pakistan is not just talking about water, but is trying to present itself as a victim in front of the world.
Where did the story begin?
After the terrorist attack in Pahalgam last year, India took major military action against Pakistan. operation vermilion Under this, India had made Pakistan ‘Tandoor’. Earlier, India effectively suspended the Indus Water Treaty and said that blood and water cannot flow together. From here Pakistan started creating a new narrative and playing the victim card.
Pakistan’s leaders, officials and media organizations started telling the world that India had stopped its water. News started coming that water crisis has increased in Sindh and Balochistan. The water level has decreased in many canals. Farming is being affected. Farmers are suffering losses. Gradually this message also started reaching the international media that Pakistan is struggling with water shortage and India’s decision is responsible for this. Media organizations like Reuters and AP gave prominence to these news.
Has India really stopped Pakistan’s water?
This is the most important question of this entire story, under the guise of which Pakistan is trying to present itself as a victim. If we understand in simple language, India has not stopped the entire water of Indus River. The reality is that the water flow of the Indus River and its tributaries is still going towards Pakistan. India currently does not have enough storage capacity nor does it have enough water storage system to completely stop the water of these rivers.
Then what has India done?
India has ended the support system provided to Pakistan under the Indus Water Treaty. There used to be talks between the two countries regarding the water flow of the river. Messages were sent to each other. There was constant communication regarding water flow, dams, projects and water management. Now India has banned this support. Meaning, like before, Pakistan is not getting information about which projects are being built and how water management is being done. That means the river water has not been completely stopped, but India is now deciding its management according to its priorities.
Then why is there water crisis in Pakistan?
The answer to this question is hidden not only in India but also in the weather. Serious effects of El Nino are being seen in South Asia including India. Rainfall has reduced in many areas. Snowfall patterns in the Himalayan areas have also been affected. The water coming from glaciers is being affected. In such a situation, it is inevitable that the water level in the rivers and canals of Pakistan will decrease. But this has also become a political opportunity for Pakistan.
If there is water shortage within the country, agriculture is being affected and the public is angry, then the easiest way for the government is to blame some other country and Pakistan is doing the same so that the opponents can be manipulated at the local level.
What is the real game of Pakistan?
Pakistan is actually waging a narrative war. Its leaders often make provocative statements about India. Pakistan wants to give this message to the world that it is a suffering country. Its water is being taken away. His farming is getting ruined. Its people are suffering from thirst. If this narrative is accepted internationally, then Pakistan can get many benefits. In circumstances of tension, Pakistan can get global support.
This may increase diplomatic pressure on India. By spreading such a narrative, Pakistan can gain people’s support at the local level also. For example, if the world is influenced by Pakistan’s narrative war, the Munir regime may present any provocative action as self-defence. This is the reason why Pakistani leaders are linking Indus water with national security. People are being made to feel that their problems are because of India, so that the Pakistan regime does not have to face opposition.
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What benefit does Pakistan Army get from this?
It is not hidden about the Pakistan Army that how deep its influence is in the politics of Pakistan. Pakistan is currently under great economic pressure. Whenever a country faces economic crisis, political instability or opposition from the common people, the issue of national security suddenly becomes prominent. In the recent past, huge protests have also been seen in Pakistan. The situation is also bad in Pakistan occupied Kashmir.
Similar is the situation in Balochistan, where BLA attacks Pakistani Army daily. Apart from these, Pakistan is also struggling with terrorist attacks. Foreign debt has increased. Inflation and unemployment are big challenges. In such a situation, if the public’s attention focuses on the issue like “India has stopped our water”, then the people of Pakistan can ignore their problems and come out against India. This is the reason why the Indus water dispute is constantly being presented as a security and existential crisis.
Where is the danger for India?
No threat is being felt here at the military level for India. Indian forces had already weakened Pakistan during Operation Sindoor. The airbase and its military bases were destroyed. In the current situation, the biggest challenge for India is narrative. India has been successful in presenting Pakistan as a terrorist producing country in the last few years. Due to this, the importance of Pakistan at the global level has also reduced. The situation is such that no one is even giving him a loan.
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Now Pakistan is trying to present its new narrative against India to the world. He wants the world to talk about water instead of terrorism. If there is a perception at the international level that there is a water crisis in Pakistan because of India, then India may have to face pressure at the diplomatic level. This is the reason why India will have to be fully active not only at the military or legal level, but also at the information and diplomatic level.
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