स्ट्रेट ऑफ होर्मुज के बाद ‘बाब अल-मंडेब’ होगा बंद! हूतियों ने दी धमकी, यूरोप तक बढ़ेगा तेल-गैस संकट – iran israel us war bab al mandeb blockade houth threat global economic ntc drmt
The ongoing war between Iran and America-Israel has now reached a point where the entire world economy is at stake. Amid reports of the already closure of the ‘Strait of Hormuz’ in the Gulf region, now Yemen’s Houthi rebels have threatened to block the ‘Bab al-Mandeb’ strait.
As soon as the war entered the third week of Yemen, hooti The rebels have broken their silence. This fighter group supported by Iran has said that they are ready to retaliate at any moment.
Houthi leader Abdul Malik al-Houthi said his forces were keeping their “finger on the trigger” and would intervene if the conflict escalated. Experts believe that this iran It is part of ‘three-phase strategy’.
What are the three stages?
first stage Strait of Hormuz has to be blocked, which has already been done. The second phase is to engage Israel from the Lebanon and Gaza fronts and the third phase is to close Bab al-Mandeb through the Houthis.
Also read: Trump in a mood to cross the Strait of Hormuz, told allies to send their warships
Why is Bab el-Mandeb important?
Bab el-Mandeb, meaning ‘Gate of Tears’, is one of the most important sea routes in the world. It separates Yemen from Djibouti and Eritrea (Horn of Africa). It connects the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden and the Indian Ocean. For trade between Asia and Europe through the Suez Canal, every ship has to pass through this 29 kilometer wide route.
Loss of Bab el-Mandeb closure
If this route is closed, ships will have to detour through Africa’s ‘Cape of Good Hope’. This will delay the journey by 10 to 15 days and fuel expenses will increase heavily. If both Hormuz and Bab al-Mandeb are closed simultaneously, it will be no less than a major disaster for global trade.
30% of the world’s sea passes through Bab al-Mandeb Oil
About 30% of the world’s marine oil passes through these two routes. Bab el-Mandeb alone produces 8.8 million barrels of oil per day. Crude oil prices may go out of control, which are already close to $100. The supply of electronics, machinery and grains from Asia to Europe will stop.
Oil prices will touch the sky
Lebanese-Australian expert Mario Naval says, ‘The war is going to be even wider and uglier.’ He wrote on ‘X’, ‘If the Houthis enter into a full military alliance with Iran and close another vital waterway (Bab al-Mandab), the Red Sea will become a completely no-go zone, oil prices will skyrocket again and global trade will be even more badly affected.’
The world’s leading shipping company Maersk has temporarily stopped its flights and ships passing through the Red Sea due to security reasons. The company says that due to the deteriorating security situation it is not currently safe to pass through Bab al-Mandeb.
Why is the threat of Houthis important?
According to expert Mohammed El-Doh, the Houthis have a big advantage in this area. Their drones and missiles are cheap, while Western countries have to deploy defense systems worth millions of dollars to stop them. Houthis have already attacked more than 100 commercial ships, so their threat cannot be taken lightly.
Israel’s new bet
Amidst this tension, Israel has also changed its strategy. Israel has recognized Somaliland (a separate region of Somalia) and is planning to build a military base there. Its objective is to keep a direct eye on the Houthis and strengthen their position in the Red Sea. Due to this, the geographical scope of the war is now likely to spread to Africa.
Fear of the biggest maritime crisis in history
Iran’s ‘Axis of Resistance’ (Hamas, Hezbollah and Houthi) now seem to be active together. If Bab al-Mandeb is blocked, the world could face the largest maritime crisis in modern history.
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