चीन, जापान से लेकर US तक कोहराम… युद्ध से भारतीय निवेशकों के 50 लाख करोड़ रुपये डूबे! – global Stock market crash us india china japan retail investor panic selling tuta
Three weeks have passed since the Middle East war, and tensions are increasing with each passing day. While America is warning of a major attack, Iran is also talking about counterattack and revenge. Now the scope of damage due to rust is also increasing. Economically, the whole world is in the grip of this war. Especially the stock market investors are crying tears of blood. This crisis is not only for the Indian stock market, the situation in the global market is also very worrying.
America is a superpower and it is supporting Israel in this war. Even though Iran is not able to attack America directly. But the war has shaken the American stock market. Due to war, Dow Jones (an important index of the American stock market) has declined by about 10 percent. The market cap of 30 companies of Dow Jones was around $14 trillion a month ago, due to the war it has fallen by more than $1 trillion. If seen in Indian context, there is a loss of Rs 80 to 85 lakh crore.
There is also chaos in the Japanese stock market, where there has been a decline of more than 12 percent. Especially, Nikkei 225 has been one of the most affected markets of Asia, due to the war, Rs 60-70 lakh crore has been lost in the Japanese stock market. Although China’s stock market was already under pressure, due to the war, the major indexes Hang Seng and Shanghai Composite have fallen by almost 8 percent in the last 3 weeks. Which shows a loss of up to Rs 100 lakh crore. This means that the biggest economic power in the world is facing huge losses due to war.
retail investmentbad times for everyone
Now if we talk about the Indian market, the shock is big here too. On Monday, the major index Nifty fell below 22500. Sensex-Nifty fell by about 2.50 percent on Monday. This figure can shock any investor. Due to unrest in the Middle East, Nifty and Sensex have fallen by about 12 percent in three weeks. Now that there has been such a huge fall in the index, it is inevitable that there will be bloodshed in the equity market.
Let us tell you, in January this year, Nifty was at a new record by reaching 26,373 points. From where the market has now come down by 15 percent. This is just a matter of statistics, but the real crisis is facing retail investors, because when the index itself has fallen by 15 percent, then it is common for the portfolio to go down by 25 to 30 percent.
Anyway, the Indian market has disappointed investors for the last 20 months. The market has been trading in a range since September 2024. Many such trigger points came, when it seemed that now we will see a good rally in the market, be it GST reform, budget, exemption in income tax, or excellent GDP figures.
Talking about losses, the Indian market has lost around Rs 50 lakh crore in the last 3 weeks due to Middle East tension. Earlier on February 27, the market cap of BSE was around Rs 463 lakh crore, which has now fallen to Rs 414 lakh crore. That means India has lost 6 companies like TCS due to war. At present, the market cap of TCS, the country’s largest IT company, is Rs 8.5 lakh crore, whereas in the last 25 days, the market cap of BSE has decreased by about Rs 50 lakh crore.
Biggest shock to the market after Covid
When the figures are so frightening then why wouldn’t there be an outcry among retail investors? There are about 22 crore demat accounts in the country, while there are about 13 crore unique account holders. In which most of the people invest money in mutual funds. Whereas according to SEBI, only 5 percent people invest directly in the equity market. In such a situation, the speed with which people have joined the stock market in the last few years, especially after Covid, is facing such a huge decline for the first time.
In the last 3-4 years, the portfolio of most of the investors who are associated with the stock market or mutual funds has turned red. If the index has slipped by 15 percent due to war, then a decline of 25 to 30 percent in the portfolio is not a new and big thing. There are lakhs of such retail investors in the country who had made profits of about 15 to 20 percent in the last 3-4 years. But now this war has wiped out the profits in the first stroke and then gradually 10-20 percent of the capital has also been wiped out.
Now the question arises that what should the retail investor do? If we look at the history of the last three decades, during war or any other event, the market collapses rapidly and then recovers after a few months. Therefore the investor should remain patient now. Especially those who have invested for the long term. The market may recover as soon as the war stops. As far as new investment is concerned, then about 25 percent of the total investment can be made in blue chip companies. But keep in mind that international tension has not ended yet. If the war deepens further, the market may also fall further.
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